This morning, the Bank of Canada (BoC) announced a 25-basis-point cut to its overnight rate, bringing it to 3%. This is the sixth consecutive rate cut since June 2024, signaling a continued effort to support Canada’s economy. Alongside this, the Bank also announced the end of its quantitative tightening policy and adjustments to its deposit rate. These decisions could have significant implications for the Greater Vancouver real estate market, and we’re here to break it down for you.

What You Need to Know

Lower Interest Rates Mean Lower Borrowing Costs
The reduction in the overnight rate impacts variable and adjustable-rate mortgages as well as home equity lines of credit. For buyers in Greater Vancouver—including Burnaby, New Westminster, and the Tri-Cities—this means lower monthly payments and increased affordability for properties like condos, townhouses, and detached homes.

Inflation is Steady, But Growth is Slower Than Expected
Canada’s inflation rate is holding steady at 2%, the BoC’s target. However, economic growth is projected at 1.8% for 2025 and 2026, slightly below earlier forecasts due to reduced immigration targets. A softer labor market, where unemployment remains at 6.7%, adds to the slower pace of recovery.

Spring Housing Market Set to Benefit
The rate cut arrives just before the traditionally active spring real estate season. Lower borrowing costs may encourage more buyers to enter the market, boosting demand for properties across Greater Vancouver. For sellers, this is a great opportunity to capitalize on increased interest, particularly in family-friendly areas like Burnaby East or amenity-rich neighborhoods in Vancouver and the Tri-Cities.

What Does This Mean for the Greater Vancouver Real Estate Market?

1. Increased Buyer Activity
   The lower cost of borrowing is expected to spur more activity in the housing market. Buyers who were previously sitting on the sidelines due to higher interest rates may now find themselves in a better position to make a move. For those looking at condos and townhouses in neighborhoods like New Westminster or Coquitlam, this could be an opportune time to take advantage of lower rates.

2. Potential for Price Growth
   With more buyers entering the market, competition for well-located and desirable properties could increase. This may lead to modest price growth in key areas, particularly for single-family homes and townhouses in sought-after neighborhoods like Burnaby North or Vancouver East.

3. Investment Opportunities
   Investors may see this as a chance to secure properties with lower financing costs. With the Bank of Canada signaling the potential for further rate cuts in the months ahead, this could create favorable conditions for those looking to invest in Greater Vancouver real estate.

4. Challenges to Watch
   While today’s announcement is positive for buyers, economic uncertainty remains, particularly around potential U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods. A significant trade conflict could dampen Canada’s economic growth and indirectly affect the housing market.

Practical Insights for Buyers and Sellers

For Buyers:

• Lock in Financing: If you’re considering a purchase, now is an excellent time to review your mortgage options. Variable-rate mortgages could see lower payments, but consult with your lender or broker to explore what’s best for your financial situation.

• Plan Ahead for the Spring Market: With increased demand expected, act early to secure the property that best fits your needs.

For Sellers:

• Prepare Your Home for Market: With demand set to rise, make sure your property is ready to stand out. Focus on curb appeal, staging, and pricing your home competitively.

• Capitalize on Timing: Listing during the spring market could maximize exposure to motivated buyers.

Our Take

The Bank of Canada’s latest rate cut will likely inject energy into the Greater Vancouver real estate market. Lower borrowing costs combined with the seasonal momentum of spring create a favorable environment for both buyers and sellers. Whether you’re looking to purchase a condo in Burnaby, sell a townhouse in New Westminster, or explore investment opportunities in the Tri-Cities, staying informed and proactive is key.

As always, we’re here to help you navigate the evolving market with personalized advice and expert guidance.

As we move into 2025, the Greater Vancouver real estate market is set for a notable shift, with experts forecasting a resurgence driven by declining interest rates, increased affordability, and pent-up demand. However, this optimistic outlook is tempered by potential challenges, such as economic uncertainties and supply constraints. Here’s a detailed review of what you can expect in the year ahead.

Anticipated Price Growth: What the Numbers Say

Predictions for 2025 suggest steady price growth across various property types:

• Royal LePage: A 4% year-over-year increase in aggregate home prices, with detached homes rising to $1.77 million (+2%) and condos reaching $795,000 (+4.5%).

• Re/Max Canada: A more bullish outlook, forecasting a 7% price growth across Greater Vancouver.

• BC Real Estate Association: A more moderate projection of "average long-run price growth," signaling cautious optimism.

While price increases are expected, the rate of growth will vary depending on market dynamics, making it crucial for buyers and sellers to keep an eye on local trends.

Sales Activity: A Surge in Demand

Greater Vancouver is expected to see a significant rebound in sales volume:

• Re/Max Canada projects a 20% surge in sales, driven by pent-up buyer demand.

• Recent November 2024 data already shows a 28% year-over-year increase in home sales, suggesting strong momentum heading into 2025.

Sales activity is expected to be particularly robust in entry-level single-family homes, which often appeal to first-time buyers and those looking to upsize from condos or townhouses.

Market Dynamics: From Balanced to Seller’s Market

The consensus among analysts is that 2025 will witness a shift toward a seller’s market:

• Re/Max Canada predicts strong competition, with demand from first-time and move-up buyers outpacing supply.

• Royal LePage expects multiple-offer scenarios to become common as demand outstrips supply.

• Conversely, the BC Real Estate Association forecasts a more balanced market, providing opportunities for both buyers and sellers.

This divergence of opinion underscores the importance of understanding micro-level market trends, as specific property types (e.g., entry-level townhouses) may experience unique dynamics.

Key Drivers of Market Change

Several factors are fueling this anticipated market resurgence:

1. Declining Interest Rates

The Bank of Canada’s downward trend in interest rates is a significant catalyst, reducing mortgage costs and improving affordability.

2. Pent-Up Demand

After years of high interest rates and market volatility, sidelined buyers are expected to return, boosting sales activity and prices.

3. Government Policies

Regulatory changes, such as extended amortization periods for first-time buyers, aim to enhance affordability. However, critics argue these measures fail to address underlying supply shortages.

Potential Challenges to Watch

While the outlook is generally positive, several challenges could temper market growth:

1. US Economic Policies

Uncertainty surrounding US trade policies, including potential tariffs on Canadian goods, could impact economic growth and housing demand.

2. Recessionary Risks

Canada faces potential economic headwinds, including a possible recession, which could lead to job losses and reduced consumer confidence.

3. Supply Constraints

Greater Vancouver continues to struggle with housing supply shortages, particularly in the single-family home segment, exacerbating upward pressure on prices.

Investor Sentiment: Shifting Landscape

Investor activity in the condo market may remain subdued in 2025:

• Declining rents and record levels of condo supply under construction are deterring new investments.

• Population growth, a key driver of rental demand, remains stagnant, further dampening investor confidence.

This could lead to price corrections in the condo segment, presenting opportunities for buyers seeking long-term value.

Opportunities for Buyers, Sellers, and Investors

For Buyers: The forecasted decline in interest rates and a surge in inventory for certain segments, such as condos, may create favorable conditions for entering the market.

For Sellers: A potential shift to a seller’s market presents opportunities to achieve competitive prices, particularly for properties in high-demand categories like entry-level single-family homes.

For Investors: While the condo market may face challenges, savvy investors can explore opportunities in underperforming segments or focus on long-term appreciation in high-demand areas.

Final Thoughts: A Dynamic Year Ahead

The 2025 Greater Vancouver real estate market offers a complex but promising landscape. Whether you’re planning to buy, sell, or invest, understanding key drivers, challenges, and localized trends will be essential for making informed decisions.

Ready to navigate the 2025 market? Contact us for personalized advice and insights tailored to your goals.

As of January 2025, BC Assessment has released updated property values for over 2.2 million properties across British Columbia. These assessments, based on market value as of July 1, 2024, play a critical role in determining property taxes and offer insights into the region’s real estate trends. Here’s everything you need to know about the 2025 property tax assessments and how they might impact you.

What Are BC Property Assessments?

BC property assessments estimate a property’s market value as of July 1 each year, reflecting its physical condition as of October 31. These assessments ensure fairness and equity in the property tax system.

Key factors influencing assessments include:

• Recent sales in your area.

• Property characteristics like size, age, quality, and location.

While assessments provide a snapshot of property value, it’s important to note that property tax rates are set by local governments in the spring and may vary based on budget needs.

Where Can You Find Your 2025 Property Assessment?

Homeowners can access their assessments online at bcassessment.ca. Paper notices are also being mailed, with most homeowners expected to receive theirs by the end of January 2025.

Lower Mainland Market Trends

For 2025, the overall housing market in the Lower Mainland has shown continued stabilization. Here’s a summary of key trends:

• Stable Values: Most residential properties saw modest changes in assessed values, ranging between -5% and +5%.

• Regional Total: The overall assessed value of properties increased slightly from $2 trillion in 2024 to $2.01 trillion.

• New Development: Nearly $27 billion of assessments stemmed from new construction, rezoning, and subdivisions.

Local Assessment Highlights

Here’s how assessments changed in key Metro Vancouver areas for 2025:

Single-Family Homes

• Burnaby: +4% ($1,973,000 to $2,044,000)

• Coquitlam: +1% ($1,722,000 to $1,738,000)

• New Westminster: +1% ($1,567,000 to $1,590,000)

• Vancouver: 0% ($2,209,000 to $2,206,000)

• Surrey: -3% ($1,608,000 to $1,563,000)

• Richmond: +1% ($1,874,000 to $1,890,000)

Strata Properties (Condos and Townhouses)

• Burnaby: 0% ($731,000 to $732,000)

• Port Coquitlam: +2% ($669,000 to $680,000)

• Port Moody: +2% ($826,000 to $841,000)

• Surrey: -2% ($710,000 to $696,000)

How Do Assessments Impact Property Taxes?

A common misconception is that an increase in assessed value directly results in higher property taxes. However, this is only true if your property’s value increases more than the average change in your community. Local governments determine tax rates based on budget needs, so your tax bill might not change even if your assessed value does.

What if You Disagree with Your Assessment?

If you believe your assessment doesn’t accurately reflect your property’s market value, BC Assessment provides options for review:

1. Initial Inquiry: Contact a BC Assessment appraiser to discuss your concerns.

2. Formal Appeal: File a Notice of Complaint by January 31, 2025, for a review by the independent Property Assessment Review Panel.

Key Takeaways for Homeowners

• Market Value ≠ Sale Price: Assessed values are a helpful reference but may not reflect the exact price your home could sell for today.

• Stay Informed: Use tools on bcassessment.ca to compare your assessment with similar properties and track market trends.

For more personalized advice or to understand how your assessment might impact your buying or selling strategy, contact us today! Whether you’re considering listing your home or exploring new investment opportunities, we’re here to guide you.

As we close out 2024, the Metro Vancouver real estate market is showing signs of renewed activity, with a strong finish in December signaling a potential upswing in 2025. Here's a detailed breakdown of what the latest market trends mean for buyers, sellers, and investors in Burnaby, New Westminster, and the Tri-Cities.

Market Overview: A Year of Transition

2024 saw the market adapt to declining mortgage rates after significant rate hikes in previous years. By December, sales across Metro Vancouver increased by over 30% year-over-year, with renewed buyer activity driving momentum. However, sales remained below the 10-year seasonal average, reflecting cautious optimism.

Burnaby: A Balanced Market

• Detached Homes: The benchmark price for detached homes in Burnaby South is $2,233,000, marking an 8% increase year-over-year. Burnaby North followed a similar trend, with prices up 4.2%. Detached properties remain in demand, though buyers are cautious due to affordability challenges.

• Townhouses and Condos: Benchmark prices for townhouses in Burnaby East ($881,300) and Burnaby South ($1,056,300) showcase a mix of stability and moderate gains. Apartment benchmarks in Burnaby South rose to $837,000, offering affordability compared to detached options.

New Westminster: Modest Yet Steady Growth

• Overall Trends: Residential properties in New Westminster saw benchmark price increases of 1.4% year-over-year, with detached homes reaching $1,579,700. The sales-to-active listings ratio of 16.8% indicates a balanced market, though sellers may face price resistance in certain segments.

• Opportunities for Buyers: Townhouses in New Westminster, with a benchmark price of $956,600, represent value for those seeking family-friendly, central locations without the premium of detached homes.

Tri-Cities: Resilience Amid Fluctuations

• Port Moody: Detached home prices held at $2,095,800, with modest increases year-over-year. Townhouses and apartments in Port Moody also showed resilience, providing diverse opportunities for buyers.

• Coquitlam and Port Coquitlam: Coquitlam’s townhouse benchmark of $1,071,600 and Port Coquitlam’s apartment benchmark of $631,700 highlight relative affordability. Sales activity in both markets showed incremental recovery, positioning them as attractive for first-time buyers and investors.

2025 Forecast: A Year of Growth

According to the BCREA forecast, Greater Vancouver sales are expected to grow by 18.5% in 2025, with modest price increases of 1-1.5%. For buyers, this signals the importance of acting early to secure properties before potential price hikes. Sellers, on the other hand, may find stronger demand in the upcoming months.

What This Means for You

• For Buyers: Declining mortgage rates and balanced market conditions make this a strategic time to enter the market. Focus on neighborhoods with stable price trends, such as New Westminster and the Tri-Cities.

• For Sellers: A well-prepared listing and strategic pricing will be crucial to attract buyers in 2025’s competitive market. Highlight unique features and ensure your home stands out.

• For Investors: Burnaby’s mixed housing stock and New Westminster’s steady growth offer promising long-term potential. Consider areas with strong rental demand and access to transit.

Ready to Navigate the 2025 Market?

Whether you’re buying, selling, or investing, our expertise in Burnaby, New Westminster, and the Tri-Cities can help you achieve your real estate goals. Contact us today for personalized advice and insights tailored to your needs.

As of January 1, 2025, the BC Home Flipping Tax has come into effect. Whether you're considering selling a condo in Burnaby North, buying a townhouse in Port Moody, or investing in a house in Vancouver, this tax may directly impact your real estate decisions. Below, we break down everything you need to know about this new legislation, including its implications, exemptions, and practical examples.

What Is the BC Home Flipping Tax?

The BC Home Flipping Tax, officially called the Residential Property (Short-Term Holding) Profit Tax, is designed to discourage short-term property speculation and promote housing stability. The tax applies to profits earned from the sale of residential properties held for less than 730 days (two years).

Who Does This Tax Impact?

• Homeowners: Those considering selling their homes within two years of purchase.

• Real Estate Investors: Especially those in the business of flipping properties for short-term gains.

• Potential Buyers: Understanding how this tax might influence the market is critical.

How Is the Tax Calculated?

The tax is based on net taxable income, which is the profit made from the sale after deducting eligible expenses. Here's a simplified example:

• Purchase Price: $600,000

• Selling Price: $700,000

• Eligible Expenses (e.g., closing costs, renovation expenses): $20,000

• Net Taxable Income: $700,000 - $600,000 - $20,000 = $80,000

If the property is sold within 365 days of ownership, the tax rate is 20%:

• Tax Owed: $80,000 x 20% = $16,000

The tax rate decreases for sales within the second year of ownership, eventually reaching 0% after 730 days.

Exemptions to the BC Home Flipping Tax

Certain life events and circumstances exempt individuals from this tax, including:

• Significant Life Changes: Divorce, death, severe illness, or job relocation.

• Commercial Properties: Properties used exclusively for business purposes.

• Indigenous Lands: Properties located on Indigenous lands (minimal impact in Burnaby and nearby areas).

FAQs About the BC Home Flipping Tax

1. Does the tax apply to all property types?
   Yes, the tax applies to houses, condos, and townhouses, among others.

2. Are first-time homebuyers affected?
   First-time homebuyers may still be subject to the tax if they sell within the two-year period.

3. Can renovation costs be deducted when calculating net taxable income?
   Yes, eligible renovation and closing costs can be deducted.

4. How do I file for an exemption?
   Exemptions require documentation and must be claimed when filing your tax return.

5. What happens if I fail to file or pay the tax?
   Penalties apply for late filing, with increased penalties for repeated offenses.

Why Does This Matter for Burnaby and Beyond?

In areas like Burnaby North, Burnaby South, and Burnaby East, as well as New Westminster, Vancouver, and Coquitlam, real estate activity often includes short-term transactions. Understanding this tax is essential for making informed decisions, whether you're selling a condo in Burnaby North or investing in a townhouse in Port Coquitlam.

How We Can Help

Every individual’s real estate goals are unique. Whether you’re planning to sell, buy, or invest, understanding how the BC Home Flipping Tax affects your specific situation is critical. Let’s discuss your goals and create a plan tailored to your needs. Contact us today to start the conversation.